[theblueadept111]

Machine intelligence will soon diverge from Kurzweil's hyper-optimistic predictions and timetables so dramatically that he won't be able to gloss over it any longer.

As for where AI stands today, I'd say we're not even at the level of simulating a jellyfish, or even a single cell. Simulated protein folding is still a pipe-dream for our fastest supercomputers, nevermind simulating the intelligence of a sentient being.

On top of that, algorithmic systems as we understand them may be a shallow model of what it means to have 'human intelligence'. How do you design a circuit that feels pain, or know when you've succeeded?