[varjag]

Right, Chinese killing Chinese and approving of that is unheard of :/

Remember that PRC is transitioning from being committee run to a personalistic dictatorship. If the calculus shifts only so slightly that one Xi would find advantages of an attack overweigh the risks, it will happen.

There is much lower decision threshold now with one person in charge. It's only a combination of objective factors: .tw defence potential, America's reading to defend it and criticality of certain Taiwan assets that keep it from happening.