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by Dylan16807
1863 days ago
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Probability of an outcome always depends on what pool you're sampling from. People pretty much always understand what the options are, but still get the analysis wrong. That is what I find interesting. Not the idea that there's some secret mechanism at play that alters the odds of a specific case. Even in that wonky "open the door on the right when possible" world, a contestant that always switches will still win 2/3 of the time. |
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