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by notriskfree 1872 days ago
Setting the actual tragic pandemic to one side.

It is not true that there are never going to be reasonable motivations to deploy a virus:-

It could be viewed as a tool to alter population demographics in an ageing society.

It might be deployed against an adversary.

It might be used to reduce the human population to avoid a predicted ecological disaster.

There are probably dozens of very reasonable motivations.

1 comments

That’s a stronger claim than I was making; I don’t think it’s categorically unreasonable to assume there’s motivation to intentionally release a virus.

I think it’s unreasonable to think there was a motivation to intentionally release Covid.

I don’t think there’s reasonable motivation given when and where the outbreak started, how the virus works, China’s response, etc.

I think the particular scenarios you’re painting are also quite extreme/unlikely, so any claim that a virus was released intentionally would require extraordinary evidence in most cases/I’d rarely entertain that hypothesis. There are less drastic and risky ways with less blowback of dealing with all of those issues, even if you assume a very capable bad actor and ignore the normal and expected amount of incompetence and error.

Right, I agree with you completely on Covid.