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by benmarten 1864 days ago
I’m so tired of these pseudo science modelers. We have seen where it leads us with covid. Humans tend to overestimate their importance.
1 comments

You don't really have to trust anyone's opinion on this... You literally just need a yardstick and a calendar. Or a pair of eyes. Snowpack gets worse and worse every year.
> Or a pair of eyes. Snowpack gets worse and worse every year.

Yup. I spend a good deal of time training for and rescuing people in the Sierras. Snow pack is very obviously lower than a decade back. Sure, sure, we'll get the occasional outlier like that massive snow pack a few years back, but ever other year, it gets lower and lower.

Love this.

One level up from eyes, you can just look at the geological record to observe climate change and CO2. CO2 goes up, place gets hot. No need for models.

You only need fancy models if you're trying to get super precise about when changes will occur, like less than 100 years precise.