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by bluzeee 1878 days ago
It is very unfortunate that some are creating a false narrative about an entire country and is misusing this forum to spread false narrative. While even scientists are puzzled on the cause [0], a few commenters here for sure knows the causes conclusively

India unlike U.S. and other western countries needs more careful analysis due to its diverse nature, larger informal economy and lack of proper data collection practices. Any simple attribution like the commenter is doing is simply false narrative

1. Anyone who has been tracking India covid cases closely knows, the most affected and contributing (72%) states for the second wave have been Maharastra and Kerala [0]

2. And, as second wave picked-up just 6 states contributed to 86.37% of new Covid-19 cases as per the data tracking [1]

3. Why did it spike in Maharastra ? Read [3] & [4] Importantly note the point on variant "This surge has started from Vidarbha, and it is hard to believe that mutant variants didn’t have a role to play"

4. Now, lets talk about variant found [4] "Two leading experts recently contended that a new coronavirus mutant strain was reportedly detected in Amravati, Yavatmal, and Akola, all in the Vidarbha region in the eastern part of the state"

5. Some comments talks about religious event which is kumbh mela which took happened in Haridwar, Uttarakhand state. Do you see the state in any of the listed states contributing to the raise ? No. Let's put today's status, is that state even in the top: 10 [5]

6. And do you know you need a permit and negative covid test report to participate in this religious event ? [6]

7. They also talk about Narendra modi rallies. Seriously ? He took rallies in the states where elections being conducted by Indian election commission, like all all other political parties he has to support his party. This is saying like Biden cannot take election rally while Trump goes on giving daily speeches. Importantly, do you see the state of Westbengal where election allies happened in the top ?

8. As Maharastra went into curfew, poor migrant labor mainly from Bihar and UP and people from other states rushed back home and there is no data how this might have affected

9. Did BJP declare victory over virus ? Yes. But there is no scientific or data based attribution of spike Or the some commenters indirect attribution of peoples laxity and not wearing masks to victory declaration is misguiding

[0] https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/indias-massive-co...

[1] https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/coronavirus-updates-f...

[2] https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/6-states-contribut...

[3] https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/explained-why-is...

[4] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/maharashtra-hits-1...

[5] https://www.business-standard.com/article/current-affairs/ne...

[6] https://www.covid19india.org/

[7] https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/kumbh-2021-limited-to-30-day...

2 comments

>a few commenters here for sure knows the causes conclusively

The hubris has been around here for as long as you have.

So you mean to say just because other parties are having elections, PM can dump his responsibilities as a PM and run without a mask into the rallies and have thousands of gatherings? Afaik Biden was against rallies and was quite vocal of that. Modi didn't even had a problem, he went smiling. When you talk about Khumb, you talk of it as it is a local event. The visitors to Kumbh are from nation wide. One person can easily infect 30 people and which can spread exponentially there. Yeah right they have a permit, but how strictly was it enforced, was the authenticity of reports validated? There were images of people in it without wearing masks. The truth is they let their guard down for elections and the style of current govt is PMO centric decision making, so it made matters worse in no time. I have yet to see a person like "Dr Fauci" in US appointed with sole responsibility to tackle the situation, and take the spotlight of decisions, questions and instructions rather than a person who "talks" one way thru a radio show and asks to bang plates and light candles to scare the virus away.