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by toomuchtodo 1880 days ago
A fun question we kick around and model in a financial forum I participate in is, “How much insolvency occurs economy wide for every 100 basis points (1%) the Fed increases their interest rate target?”

If interest rates go up, real estate and equities prices come down, and US gov borrowing costs increase. Borrowing costs go up for zombie firms and they fail. How much appetite is there for any of that? The same as long term central back interest rate policy: zero.

1 comments

No, if interest rates go up, the acceleration of real estate and equities prices will slow. There are too many real factors which are causing the acceleration of housing prices for interest rates hikes to totally cancel it out.
Interest rate hike would probably cascade to a recession blowing up realestate in the process