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by wahern
1890 days ago
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It's worth pointing out that seasonal flu tends to have a rather low R0 to begin with, especially as compared to coronaviruses and other respiratory infections. Unlike some others in this thread here I'm probably less sanguine about a permanent change in habits. The Americas and many European countries are still as individualistic as ever, and have manifestly faired rather poorly considering their wealth. What is most likely to change, IMO, is efficacy of flu vaccines. Marginally better efficacy and marginally more voluntary vaccinations may be sufficient to push the already low R0 to below 1 at scale. |
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