[clairity]

also, given the collective (non-)evidence, we should expect that the number of people who are irredeemably and imminently threatening, and therefore truly deserving of the death penalty, to be extraordinarily small, like 5 sigma, rather than 2-3 sigma, which seems to be the mental model implicit in our justice system.

with such extraordinarily tiny incidence rates and an erroneous implicit mental model, it's no surprise that we misidentify the truly irredeemable so often. our implicit expectations simply get in the way of being impartial and objective.