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by vsareto 1896 days ago
Skills around software and IT - not just developers. There might be a lot of churn within that industry, but if you can solve problems in those industries industry with any tools, you're going to be valuable. It might take longer to find a job depending on the current times and your own retraining speed, but it will be there in some form. Nothing is likely going to make all software and IT workers obsolete like automation does to factory workers.

My evidence is that we still have a lot of legacy and technical debt around, and it's likely to still be there in 20 years, so even if you don't work on the cutting edge (which may now have stratospheric requirements for entry like a PhD and Github projects and 8 rounds of interviews), you can still take legacy work.

Security and defense (physical and IT/software) will also likely be around forever.

1 comments

I’d love to believe this, but dev and IT people are not paid exceptionally well in most of the world. That says to me that the high salaries are a consequence of social structures and the current economy, not that the skills are super valuable. It’s proximity to money that actually matters.
Developers are paid pretty well in most of the world, usually well above median income for the country. Just because they’re not paid at 90-95th percentile incomes as in the U.S. doesn’t mean they don’t have valuable skills.
Also, you'd better believe that a tsunami of smart, motivated young people are coming through the education pipeline to pump up the labor supply for the IT/dev sector.

Maybe the demand will increase fast enough to keep salaries from dropping in real terms.