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by vmladenov 1898 days ago
Again with the made up numbers that erode trust.

I’m 25 and I’m relatively healthy. The risk that the disease kills me is significantly less than 1 in 100; it’s hard to find numbers but one chart had the hospitalization rate for me at 1%, and the death rate 0.01% (edit: though the death rate only covered age and didn’t divide by other factors such as obesity). The “chance” the vaccine kills you is currently zero as there have been no recorded deaths that have been linked to a COVID vaccine. The blood clotting risk has been cited as 1 in a million, but we’re working with limited data. This is the problem with making such extrapolations.

I write all of this as I’m on day 2 of dealing with the side effects of J&J.

1 comments

Yep, I used averages not made-up numbers.

The reason everyone has to get it is so that the average goes down to 0, for everyone.

7 million trials is not limited data. It's dramatically, and I do mean dramatically more data than basically any other clinical trial for any other drug you've ever heard of. By probably 2 orders of magnitude. It's simply not limited data.

The average phase 3 trial has 300-3000 participants [1]. Not seven million.

Also a week in after J&J.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phases_of_clinical_research