[Izkata]

> I think people IN LOW RISK groups have been way too enthusiastic to sign up.

About that...

> In December, we asked, “What percentage of people who have been infected by the coronavirus needed to be hospitalized?”

> The correct answer is not precisely known, but it is highly likely to be between 1% and 5% according to the best available estimates, and it is unlikely to be much higher or lower. We discuss the data and logic behind this conclusion in the appendix.

> Less than one in five U.S. adults (18%) give a correct answer of between 1 and 5%. Many adults (35%) say that at least half of infected people need hospitalization.

https://www.brookings.edu/research/how-misinformation-is-dis...

[base698]

From what I can deduce using CDC data my chance of hospitalization is 0.5 to 2%. Assuming linear relationship of obesity in the population and assuming the same risk at the top of my cohort to the bottom.

[Izkata]

My point was more the last part:

> Many adults (35%) say that at least half of infected people need hospitalization.

This is why so many in low-risk groups have been so enthusiastic - misinformation that has them thinking it really is the Black Death.

[hvac]

Or maybe people are just terrible at judging acute risks? This isn't unique to covid - ask them about flying on an airliner or living next to a nuclear power plant and you would get some equally comical numbers. At any rate risk of hospitalization/death isn't the complete picture since some of those young people are ostensibly doing it to protect the people around them.