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by Aengeuad 1891 days ago
It's easy to predict things correctly when you control what your son will use, e.g., 'my son won't use a landline', well yes, you cancelled your home landline before your son was born. The original prediction was that most people and most businesses would stop using landlines but he concedes his son might still use a landline in an office some day and yet still considers the original prediction to be correct. The same is true for phone numbers, dedicated cameras, mechanical harddrives, arguably prime time tv but I can't really blame him here. Theatres are considered TBD but it took a pandemic that also shut near everything else down for much of the world, many businesses are in for a rough shake up.

The crazier predictions are ones that didn't come to fruition line no more floating window managers or mice and people no longer building desktop pcs, or ones the author still thinks are going to happen like no more wired internet connections.

1 comments

> The original prediction was that most people and most businesses would stop using landlines but he concedes his son might still use a landline in an office some day and yet still considers the original prediction to be correct.

For what it's worth I'm 15 years older than his son, and haven't used a landline in over a decade. I'm typing this from my office desk that has a landline phone on it, that as far as I'm aware has never rung.

It's not an unreasonable conclusion to mark that prediction as correct.

EDIT: actually upon closer inspection it appears that the phone on my desk might be VoIP, so I've not only not used a landline phone in a decade, I haven't even seen one.

I actually do have a landline. My internet company told me my bill would go up by $10 a month if I dropped the landline service from my internet+landline combo. Welcome to the free market where I have this or DSL. I don't have a phone hooked up to it, nor do I even know the number.
> For what it's worth I'm 15 years older than his son, and haven't used a landline in over a decade

In a similar boat. Last time I used a landline was about 20 years ago.

In fact, in India the landline has all but vanished.