[yladiz]

> With iOS being the minority player in China, Tencent can likely get away with it too

I would somewhat disagree. Yes, iOS is a minority in China, but for wealthier people it's a higher percentage as it's a status symbol (as it is in many places). I don't know if this would change the calculus much but it might, and apparently the party is keen on cutting down on apps requiring more than essential data collection without consent[1] so it's possible that the government won't directly force Apple's hand in this case (as in, by forcing WeChat to remain in the App Store even using CAID).

1: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-cac-personaldata-id...