[pcurve]

Isn't gambler's fallacy more about expectation of future result skewing based on past outcome?

If there's a very dangerous airplane ride that results in 10% of all flights ending in crash, if you take that plane 10 times, wouldn't you expect 1 crash on average?

[mathieuh]

Looks like I'm wrong judging by the other comments, that'll learn me to not make comments on things I'm not sure about...