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by IgorPartola 1903 days ago
I don’t think you can directly compare disease to the stock market. The stock market is a level 2 chaos system: predictions about it are direct inputs into the system affecting outcomes. Disease is generally much closer to level 1: it is random but unaffected by predictions. COVID is possibly mildly affected by predictions in that people might make travel plans based on predictions but I don’t think the majority of people are acting in ways that seriously change their transmission risk based on predictions.