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by sp3000 1904 days ago
2100 is almost 80 years from now. Think back to 1940 and how different our world was then. Cars will certainly be automated to some degree. And that will cause a great reduction in the almost 1.35 million people killed globally by motor vehicle accidents.

A US statistic: In 2010, there were an estimated 5,419,000 crashes, 30,296 deadly, killing 32,999, and injuring 2,239,000. It is hard for me to imagine a scenario where automated driving is as unsafe as that.

We will truly look back and think, "Did we really trust others to operate multi ton metal machinery at exceedingly high speeds at each other day after day?"

2 comments

As a whole this is true and could probably be bested. But it would have to be by many magnitudes of order to have people accept it. There's a feeling that isn't necessarily true that one can control their destiny driving and avoid being a statistic. Now we know that isn't always true as you are at the mercy of many other elements. But if autonomous cars were even 90% less fatalities it would still be hard to get humans to give up control for that. It would have to be on the realm of air travel safety.
> Cars will certainly be automated to some degree. And that will cause a great reduction in the almost 1.35 million people killed globally by motor vehicle accidents.

They already are. I'm talking about full self driving. A car without a steering wheel. Cruise control (arguably the first car automation) has existed since the 1900s. Potentially earlier depending on how you define it.