Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by dirtyid 1906 days ago
PRC/ROC dynamic is formally an unfinished civil war, it's diplomatically a domestic issue between two governments representing one China, where recognition is mutually exclusive. The current peace / détente is held together by a bunch of incongruous agreements, i.e. article 8 & 92 consensus between PRC/ROC, three communiqués between PRC/US, TW relations act between ROC/US to make the current arrangement somewhat workable. I don't think even "peaceful" legal options exist at UN anymore, article 18 can add new members with 2/3 vote, but resolution 2758 that changed UN recognition from ROC to PRC precludes Taiwanese politicians from joining as they are technically representatives of a Chinese province. There would need to be overhaul of UN, modern IR and Westphalian sovereignty system for TW to exist as a separate country from PRC which isn't likely to happen with PRC influence. Formal TW recognition (and derecognition of PRC) by outside parties still does not change civil war dynamic which can't be ended unilaterally by one party or outside parties. There's no way out but to fight and win for TW, and win sufficiently to be able to dictate terms to PRC and have PRC surrender agreed formally so as to enable the creation two separate sovereign states. Even then it doesn't change underlying PRC desire to regain Taiwan, whether that's resumption of civil war, via illegal war, or declaration of legal war. TW independence is a military problem, I think people are deluding themselves if they belief there's a political two country solution, especially by third parties.
1 comments

Did you see https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26569477? If you continue to ignore our repeated requests we are going to have to ban you. I don't believe that you're posting in bad faith but you're abusing the site by violating its intended purpose this badly.
I forgot about it and just found opportunity to read it in full. My tone in referenced reply was uncalled for. I would edit for civility if I could. I'll filter my posts on topic for pejorative language in the future. I appreciate the the effort you put into explanation. By abuse, do you mean focus on one flamewar topic? I engage in topics I'm well read on, or rather I get engaged on topics where I have dissenting opinion. Most of my comments on other topics typically don't get any replies so I find most of my followups / replies to centre around Chinese topics. I will incorporate your two guidelines going forward to avoid engaging in ways that bias towards flamewar.