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by medium_burrito 1909 days ago
In all cases, the goal is to establish a truth on the ground independent of political posturing. Of course, someone can call your bluff on it!
1 comments

IMO the political posturing is paramount. Ultimate goal is to provide an sufficient truth calibrated to deter bluff calling. Fundamentally most countries don't want to or have capability to intervene, so the purpose is to give competing parties a credible "out" with manageable political cost, i.e. reduce bluff calling to angry letters / sanctions versus hard military retaliation. Gain objective while deter / mitigate the most unwanted responses.