[wwtrv]

And what would China win exactly? Even if they somehow miraculously manage to keep TSMC up and running they would not be able to export anything produced there to other countries and permanently loose access to all western IP.

And the sanctions from US and other countries would massively outweigh any perceived economic benefits from invading Taiwan.

[lazide]

Any scenario where China invades Taiwan, global sanctions and embargoes are already happening. Blowing up the wests high end chip fab capacity for a minimum of 2-3 years at that point is a bonus.