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by Johnny555
1919 days ago
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and is comparable to normal cars with a hood Well, at least when compared to cars from 1984. I wonder how it would fare against a modern car? Cars are much safer today, the paper below says that the probability of a driver being killed in a new 2008-2012 car is 0.29 versus 0.42 in a new 1985-1993 model year car. https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication/... (another interesting finding from that paper is that the probability of death increases as the vehicle ages, even within the same model year) |
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Looks like they don't speculate much on it -- they mention improvements in driver behavior over time and maintenance. Not bad, but my first thoughts were:
* a 20 year old vehicle is often driven by a person with a different socioeconomic situation than someone with a 1 year old vehicle, and those economic situations correlate heavily with other driving behaviors.
* as vehicles are getting safer and more powerful, highway speeds are rising, so 20 year old vehicle that are just keeping up with traffic are going faster than they used to.