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by paulsutter 1924 days ago
SpaceX scheduled to make a new Starship every 2.5 days by 2025

You might want to look at the early days of airplane safety, not the 2020 numbers. Look up reliablity learning curve, safety comes from doing a huge volume of flights. All existing rockets have a small number of flights

EDIT: am a SpaceX shareholder and I’ve met with Elon more than once, so not sure what you mean by parasocial

2 comments

Whenever something related to Elon Musk comes up it becomes hard to sort out what is a reasonable claim versus an unreasonable one fueled by a parasocial relationship with Elon Musk.
As an aside, I do get amused when Person A makes an argument that may not have explicit references, Person B rebuttals with explicit references, and Person A responds by instructing Person B to go look up their own references for Person A's own argument.

Reminds me of the "All Birds are Cats" sketch by Clarke and Dave: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eIl1VuGTk3g (Relevant bit starts at 51s)