| So if the vast majority of people survive, we should just let it rip? What would happen if we would let it rip: - Without any counter measures such as masks or lockdowns the rate of infection would be significantly higher resulting
- Tens of millions more dead (https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2020/06/09/8724419...) The link shows projections done last year in May. Mutations that spread more such as B1.117 (British variant) are not even in this consideration - More people with long term effects and need for rehabilitation, which will lead to a significant influx on the health care system in third world countries such as the USA were even now Kickstarter ist the most widely used insurance service.... Even if only 1.5% die across all age groups accross the world that would still be 117.000.000 million people. Now the population of people above the age of 65 is 700.000.000 here the mortality rate is higher. Let's be conservative at say 20% ( since there is also an increase between ages 65 and 75+) that would be 140.000.000 Deaths
Now for the age group below age 65 and acording to stats from 2016 are 16% of the world population obese . Obese people just like older people have a higher risk of dying from covid than healthy people. 16% from 7. billion ( deducted the above 65% since they already have a higher chance) That would be 1.120.000.000 people that would have a conservative risk to die of covid of 20% = 224.000.000 total death toll = 140.000.000 + 224.000.000 + 88.500.000 (5.9bil healthy people with death chance of 1.5%) = 450.000.000 By no means are these number accurate but they show about what kind of dimension we talk about when we talk about letting it rip. Important to not is that the 5.9 billion people are not all healthy so in reality that number would be much higher. The flu itself kill yearly 650.000 people globally ,.. so every one who says that covid19 is not dangerous is an idiot. |
No, we should still attempt to fight it but doing so without lockdown/masks.
lockdown/masks cause misery which is should not be ignored.
> Without any counter measures such as masks or lockdowns the rate of infection would be significantly higher resulting - Tens of millions more dead
South Dakota never lockdown nor have mask mandate
Sweeden as well.
Florida mostly not lockdown
They are doing fine.
There are no significant difference between place that doing lockdown/mask compared to place that don't.
The way covid death is counted right now is highly misleading because it including everything remotely related to covid, for example death due to heart attack while being positive for covid is counted as covid death.
Death is not the sole metric, yes reducing death is a good thing but if it attempted by increasing misery due to lockdown then I don't want it.