[ubercore]

This is a wildly optimistic take on what AI can accomplish, and a misunderstanding of the difficulties in all those tasks. If AI can do the first set of jobs, it will be able to replace sales people, cops, and lawyers too. But there's nothing, yet, to indicate that there isn't a wide gulf between the current state of the art and the kind of generalized intelligence you're talking about.

[vincentmarle]

Besides, the more imminent threat to "our jobs" is not artificial intelligence but the brutal combination of globalization and the increasingly effortless ability to work remotely. If it doesn't matter anymore where the person behind Slack or Zoom is located, then why should they be in the same country. Before AI catches up to our jobs, the jobs will already have been taken away from us by the forces of globalization.

[andreilys]

I mean it can already replace certain tasks done by sales people, cops and lawyers.

Three lawyers with the right set of tools (e.g. for discovery, writing legal briefs, etc.) can be more productive than twenty lawyers.

[snejad123]

Yes but for jobs that require emotion like sales, the current Neural Network paradigm is just not gonna cut it. I am never buying from a robot, it’s missing an element of the mind that we still haven’t even categorized the biological side of, even if it sounds like a “real person”.

The state of the art of today’s DNN, I agree, is far away. But the peak of today’s architecture is yes, replacing construction, welding, and surgery. Those actually might happen quickly.