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by cirenehc 1927 days ago
> "Accuracy remained high (69%) even when controlling for age, gender, and ethnicity."

So if I just assign the majority label to all of the population of a given demographics group, I would get the same result right? i.e., predicting "left" for all minorities under 30. You would also get ~70% accuracy.

1 comments

What do you think 'controlling for age [,etc]' means?
Please state what you want to say. No need to be passive aggressive.
You quoted the part about controlling for age, then described the sort of mistake that comes from not controlling for age. So I would like to know what you think it means, in order to meet you where you are. I'm not expressing aggression toward you.
My interpretation of control is fixing all other variables (the ones they mentioned) except for the one being measured (political orientation). If that's not what they did I'm happy to learn.
In that case I don't understand your original comment, as it describes the sort of mistake that arises when you don't control for other factors, but you appear to accept that they did.
My original comment said:

> So if I just assign the majority label to all of the population of a given demographics group, I would get the same result right? i.e., predicting "left" for all minorities under 30. You would also get ~70% accuracy.

I meant that even if you control age, gender, ethnicity, a very trivial predictor (i.e., always predicting the majority label) could yield similar performance. What I meant to say was that their model may not perform as well as they made it sound.