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by bryanlarsen 1932 days ago
The humans are probably overthinking it. You get ~55% by assuming by answering "Biden" for everybody.
2 comments
simiones 1932 days ago
In fact, the dating site dataset was ~54% conservative according to their explanations of included data, but the point stands.
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leereeves 1932 days ago
According to Wikipedia only 51.3% voted for Biden/Harris.
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relaxing 1932 days ago
The dataset was not restricted to voters.
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leereeves 1932 days ago
Do you have data that includes non-voters? I haven't seen any; most polls are limited to voters.
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standardUser 1932 days ago
There were tons of national polls done for Trump's approval that included all adults (instead of likely or registered voters). Trump fared noticeably worse in the polls of all adults throughout his presidency.
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leereeves 1932 days ago
Approval isn't the same thing as preference among two choices. Trump received a considerably higher percentage of votes than his approval rating.
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