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by dominotw 1934 days ago
> Berkshire is part of the market, thus it cannot outperform the market forever. In fact you expect reversion to the mean -- companies that outperform then underperform and vice versa. Why is there reversion to the mean? Because the special techniques discovered by the company are copied and disseminated, key people are poached, ideas that used to work reliably stop working, etc. So these social constraints kick in long before mathematical constraints, but even if in theory you can overcome the social constraints, you can never overcome mathematical constraints, and thus Berkshire and all other investment holding companies must eventually stop overperforming, and most only eek out a few years of net overperformance.

Understood. Thank you!

Now I wonder why brekshire investors keep holding the stock. Shouldn't the stock crash and burn. What is their logic ? Sunk cost bias?