| Congratulations, but some sceptical notes. The spring is coming, ending the wave like last year. This can reduce the cases by a similar amount. We will have to wait till next season what will happen. The sun and season has a dramatic influence on Covid. We saw that last year. Related with vitamin-D and ultra-violet radiation. Recently some countries had changes in PCR tests. Austria had a similar reduction after not using the PCR tests. They had 95% false positives on PCR, compared to other tests.
The PCR is problematic due to the usage of far too many cycles. When testing random persons, it gives 95% false positives over 35 cycles, but many countries even use 45 cycles or more. Sadly, using too many cycles is not scientific evidence for anything. Many countries also reached a natural herd immunity. Sweden is now very close to getting 60% anti-body herd immunity. Besides that we have T-cell herd-immunity of which we do not know that much. I already had covid, got my anti-bodies & T-cell-immunity and am now fully immune. Probably not applicable to Israel. Certain countries use cheap old-school medicine that prevent the disease. Like India and Ghana. Changes in medicine-use give similar changes in cases. If you don't believe it, just talk to some people that live there. They do not have a covid problem. IMHO this is the best but least profitable way to deal with the disease. Controversial: The vaccines can give strong fevers. This is a well known side-effect. These might have thinned out the weakest people. Which now did not catch covid. While I think the effect is small, it can give a temporary reduction of the cases. I hope the medicine companies will improve the vaccines, so we do not get these side-effects. The difference between these can be subtle and depends on raw data. But statistical analysis can already show some details. |
hight of first wave in Israel was end of march. in Israel it just really started in march.
on average it was in the last weeks colder than last year.