[henrikschroder]

If you are below 50, risk factors play a significant role in determining your actual IFR, while if you're above 70, your age is the primary risk factor.

I don't think your graph adjusts for that, and I think the difference in IFR between covid and the flu for healthy people under 50 is smaller. We're already at pretty small risks for those ages, and even if the difference is still 10x, it is - to use a highly scientific term - whatevs.

So if you are healthy and under 50, you won't die from covid, and you shouldn't jump the queue. Better?

[amluto]

Long Covid appears to be fairly common. Mortality isn’t the only relevant metric.

[henrikschroder]

Sure, but that doesn't change the argument. I napkin-mathed the QALY difference between vaccinating a 30yo compared to a 70yo elsewhere in the thread, feel free to continue that by adding long covid into the mix.

If anything, I bet it will strengthen my case, because older people are more likely to get sick from the virus, and therefore more likely to develop long covid than younger people, which means the "QALY utility" of vaccinating an older person becomes even greater, which makes GP an even bigger immoral asshole for skipping the line.

[gcbirzan]

You're moving the goal posts. I'm not saying it's okay to jump the queue, but it's not "old people", it's "old people and people with other health issues that are risk factors".