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by DSingularity 1956 days ago
It will only revert if people sell. What if nobody sells because they equate selling with giving up on their dreams of fighting climate change?
2 comments

Retail might never sell, I doubt commercial institutions Vanguard for example would not sell for idealistic reasons.
Vanguard doesn’t try to call tops. If they sell shares it would be to lock in profit and diversify their EV investment.
Again, Tesla makes climate change worse by investing in Bitcoin so if climate change is the driver they should sell ASAP. I think you're overestimating the average speculator's love of the environment.

Yes, this time could be different. Past performance is not an indication of future performance. That said, it would be the first time something's gone parabolic upward (while lacking the fundamentals) without retracing, and I don't see any reason this time would be different.

[edit: Check this out: (1) https://imgur.com/a/HATGeWr (2) https://imgur.com/a/umQLsnK]

I’m not debating the subtleties of Tesla’s carbon footprint. Im just asking what if the people buying TSLA are not buying for profit? What if they are buying because they believe it is the way they can fight climate change.

Will it eventually retrace? Probably. Almost surely. But it will probably not matter at that point relative to today.

I think we are in an era where stocks are mostly detached from fundamentals. Ask yourself who truly cares about fundamentals? It’s the uber wealthy who are trying to preserve their capital. Wealth disparity is huge so those numbers are fewer.

The Robinhood investors aren’t pouring over spreadsheets to decide where the best PE ratio tradeoff is most favorable. They aren’t trying to balance growth and income. They are literally buying whatever hyped them the most.

Now regarding the AMD chart. You should consider it in context of their defeat by Intel and subsequent turnaround. That, I think, drove the price movements shown in the chart. Did profit taking from amazing runs also matter? Probably. But you can’t ignore that AMD was nearly bankrupt and had to reinvent itself because it lost so much ground to Intel.