[cltsang]

They are incentivized to avoid confrontation with the west. But the question is whether they will face confrontations.

Right after the Biden administration has taken over, we immediately see Myanmar Coup, Russian persecution of oppositions, China sailing to Japan's Senkaku Islands, not to mention China's constant provocation in Taiwan's airspace.

They are testing the limit the Biden administration. And if it's like the Obama era, the USA won't react in any meaningful manner. The EU, which looks up to the US, can't do much.