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by u10 1963 days ago
ok, but what incentives does anyone have to actually look at potentially fraudulent situations, especially if the stock is ripping, as in the case of Valeant Pharmaceuticals? In fact the incentives are so perverse that it pays _not_ to state your research on why the company is not worth what it is. Even the time value spent on research is non trivial.

Your example would make more sense if the car they were selling a what may seem as a perfectly fine Lambo, but in actuality it was a lemon. And the only way to find out if it was a lemon or not is to tear it apart piece by piece.

2 comments

The incentive already exists in the form of long investors doing their due diligence.
How does that make any sense? If the stock was growing 15% year over year without any indication that there are any issue, why would any investor want to provide any information or do any research on why that isn't the case? If an investor knew that there was fraud going on they would probably keep it to themselves and simply invest in the company anyways, because the financial incentive is there.
In your hypothetical example, a stock is going up and up, and I suspect it might be fraudulent, and you believe I have no incentive to pull my money out before the house of cards collapses?

Getting my money out is all the incentive I need! I bet plenty of Theranos investors would've loved to do exactly that. And there was no shorting involved in that company.

The question they are asking is if it’s going up & up what will ever cause it to go down?

The standard answer is the government. Which is fine but reduces a moral position to an operational one.

Sorry, but fixing one wrong with another is not the way. Are you honestly saying that stock shorting is the only incentive someone has to look at fraud? I don't buy that one bit.
What incentive would an investor have to claim that a company is fraudulent if there is no financial upside to it? Altruism? That's just naive.

Sure, you could point towards regulators but we know that the advantage will always be with the regulated.

You answered it, fix regulators, and heavily punish fraud, don't let people get away with a slap on the wrist. This is literally the job of the justice system. You may as well say what benefits do police or FBI have for catching criminals. The reward is a stable and just society, on top of their salaries.

On a side note, this is one aspect that religion addresses. Ripping people off is not going to end up well when facing God.