| Plenty of black swans occur when dictatorship is the regime. - assassination of dictator => internal turmoil - early death of dictator => internal turmoil - scuffle with neighboring country => economic sanctions by the free world - dictator can't lose face, does something stupid => economic sanctions by the free world - (Germany, Merkel, CDU) support for the dictator wanes and disappears => economic sanctions by the free world - local governments cover up economic losses until its too great => hyperinflation, central government collapse - triggering business defaults leading to dollar shortages leading to faster capital outflow => hyperinflation, central government collapse - made up economic numbers are exposed => foreign businesses pull out - nationalization of foreign companies assets => foreign businesses pull out - natural disasters + lack of food supply => citizen riot |