[ska]

It's not hard to imagine a situation where normally avid/active cyclist are taking fewer trips (since they aren't going to an office 5 days a week or whatever) but this loss is dwarfed by normally occasional non-cycling people taking more trips than average.

The latter group is likely two orders of magnitude larger than the former, so the interesting thing will be if some people become "converts" as it were, when the restrictions are released. I can see arguments both for and against.

It would be interesting to see an analysis of this in a couple of years, but comparing areas of long term disruption (e.g. USA) vs. shorter (e.g. New Zealand) but that also has all the usual problems of comparison.