[orwin]

I don't know, the IPCC 2005 models are really accurate (you have to take the "if nothing is done" line).

But i guess 15 years is not enough for you.

Well, it's simple. Look at BP scientist model in the late 70's and look how much we diverged. 40 years, if the model is false you will see it fast no?

Since you're a skeptic, you have to follow the rule: look at the evidence that say you're wrong before looking at the evidence that say you're right. Luckily, those models can be the evidence of both at the same time, so you only have to do your own research twice!