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by lbrito
1991 days ago
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>It seems likely to me we will figure out general-purpose human-level AI in a few decades. "The singularity is _always near_". We've been here before (1950s-1970s); people hoping/fearing that general AI was just around the corner. I might be severely outdated on this, but the way I see it AI is just rehashing already existent knowledge/information in (very and increasingly) smart ways. There is absolutely no spark of creativity coming from the AI itself. Any "new" information generated by AI is really just refined noise. Don't get me wrong, I'm not trying to take a leak on the field. Like everyone else I'm impressed by all the recent breakthroughs, and of course something like GPT is infinitely more advanced than a simple `rand` function. But the ontology remains unchanged; we're just doing an extremely opinionated, advanced and clever `rand` function. |
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About a decade ago I trained a model on Wikipedia which was tuned to classify documents into what branch of knowledge the document could be part of. Then I fed in one of my own blog posts. The second highest ranking concept that came back to me was "mereology" a term I had never even heard of and one that was quite apt for the topic I was discussing in the blog post.
My own software, running on the contents of millions of authors' work, ingesting my own blog post, taught me the orchestrator of the process about his own work. This feedback loop is accelerating and just because it takes decades for the irrefutable to come, it doesn't mean that it never will. People in the early 40s said atomic weapons would never happen because it would be too difficult. For some people nothing short of seeing is believing, but those with predictive minds know that this truly is just around the corner.