[maxfan8]

The article addresses this point:

> Instead events—including the staggering cost of delay, the spectacular failures of institutional authorities to adapt to the scientific realities of covid, and the long-awaited finding that all the major vaccines safely work (some better than others), just like the experts predicted back in February—all this only made me more confident of my original, stupid and naïve position.

[aaron-santos]

Thank you for digging up the quote. Not to argue against you, but to this part of the article. This again is arguing about making a decision with information we have available to us now. Now we know all major vaccines safely work. Scott Aaronson should be able to back up this claim, that among the vaccines we had in February all turned out to be effective so choosing amongst them at random would have yielded an acceptable outcome, with a source.