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by mynegation 1996 days ago
Is that right? 100K daily infections give you 100,000 x 30 x 3 = 9,000,000 in three months which is 13% of 68M. Not anywhere close to herd immunity but not 1.5% either
3 comments

Based on an IFR of 0.44, around 17 million already have contracted Covid. 9 million will not get us to full herd immunity, however, will reduce super spreading events (as super spreaders will already have had the disease)
Ah yes my bad, off by 10x . Make it 15%. More, though as you say, not “enough more”
Vaccinations can bring us closer to herd immunity too. Or at least take the load of the hospital system by covering off the vulnerable population.