[andyv]

The math doesn't look too good, at least in the US.

There are currently about 100,000 vaccinations a day in the US. Ignoring the vaccines that need two doses, vaccinating 300 million people at that rate will take 3,000 days = 100 months = 8.3 years. At 1 million vaccinations/day, we're still looking at 300 days = 10 months. Logistics is not my thing, but a tenfold increase in vaccations may be a little optimistic. Better than an infinite wait, though.

I got a robocall from my regular pharmacy the other day, telling me that they would be involved in distributing covid vaccines "soon".

So I am definitely going along with the main idea about acting as if everyone I know (or run into on the street) has tested positive.

[qndreoi]

When the adults take charge in a few weeks, things will go much faster. Six million New Yorkers got smallpox vaccinations in one month in 1947. There is no leadership now. https://www.insidehook.com/daily_brief/history/new-york-smal...

[Trasmatta]

Yeah, I'm expecting it to step up significantly soon. I keep seeing people doing back of the envelope calculations to determine how long it will take to vaccinate everyone at the current rate, but it's pretty obvious that it's not going to just continue at the current rate.

It's a huge missed opportunity that we weren't better prepared from the get go, given we've had all year to get ready, but it will get better.