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by md_
2001 days ago
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I don't totally follow. Your comment about increasing the price on old things seems like a reference to Giffen Goods? But the actual existence of such goods is somewhat unverified/contentious, I understand. One shouldn't assume this is zero sum. Increased labor participation should (given consistent productivity) driven economic growth—i.e. GDP should go up; everyone should get richer. Increased workforce participation can of course drive down wages. That could explain the weakened status of the middle class. But that doesn't explain declining labor productivity. I doubt there's one single cause. Women entering the workforce was probably a reaction to labor insecurity and also conceivably a driver of it; that resulting insecurity probably also is attributable to various policy changes (weakening of unions, decreasing political power of the working class, the increasing role of capital). I don't have a good one-sentence summary, nor have I even made up my own mind on this. |
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I have a favourite brand of tea that I've been drinking for years. I have some disposable income, so even if the price of that tea went up 2x, I wouldn't switch to a cheaper (but less tasty) alternative. But I know people who would, and I lived through period of financial distress during which I'd make such switch. The same applies to quite a lot of other goods I buy: from ketchup and mustard to soap and toilet paper.
The same also applies to the places I shop. I'm already buying most groceries at our local ALDI equivalent, but I could optimize that further - but I don't, because I have disposable income, and I won't - even if the prices go up - until it becomes noticeable enough on my balance sheet to justify the effort.
My hypothesis is the example above, but generalized over population: if an average person has $X of disposable income, the market suddenly loses the downward pressure from demand side to the tune of $X; the pressure resumes once the average person has no disposable income.
I haven't made my mind up on this either, I'm just presenting what I currently believe to be a causal relationship. This is partially based on the experience in European countries (notably Poland and Germany), where double income is increasingly becoming a necessity as well, but we don't have some of the commonly attributed contributory factors like student debt and high healthcare costs.