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by Someone
2000 days ago
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Fair, but only over time, and not truly random. Only over time: this doesn’t help if you need _one_ fair flip. Not random: for any 2 flips in sequence, you want a probability of ¼ to get two heads. This gets you either 70% × 30% or 30% × 70%, both of which are 0.21. That’s only 84% of the expected 0.25. In general, longer sequences of heads or tails are too rare with this method (e.g. for four flips: 70% × 30% × 70% × 30% is 0.0441; only 70.56% of the expected 0.0625. The probability of 6 consecutive heads or tails is less than 60% of what it should be, etc.) |
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