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by davycro 2005 days ago
The case fatality rate is around 1.8% in the USA [1]. Current population is 330 million. So if the entire population becomes infected that’s 5.9 million dead.

The case fatality rate would likely increase as we overwhelm healthcare resources, so it could be even worse.

1% may sound trivial but it becomes meaningful at the scale of a population. The benefits of the vaccine far outweigh the risks.

I was injected yesterday along with my fellow emergency department and ICU staff. People seemed giddy with hope and relieved to become protected. If you see enough people die of covid then the risk of the vaccine seems trivial.

[1] https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data/mortality

2 comments

Thank you for being willing to take the still-nonzero risk of a lightly tested vaccine.

I am fortunate enough to be a remote employee with little need (or desire) to interact in ways that I could spread or receive Covid-19, so I personally will wait a while for more data on safety and efficacy.

> The case fatality rate is around 1.8% in the USA [1]. Current population is 330 million. So if the entire population becomes infected that’s 5.9 million dead.

It won't get anywhere near that, as it doesn't take into account asymptomatic (I've seen estimates in some areas as high as 20:1, which would put the number dead at ~300k) and due to herd immunity not everyone is going to get infected anyway.