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by _qulr 2015 days ago
It should be mentioned that Steph Curry was drafted behind Hasheem Thabeet, Tyreke Evans, Ricky Rubio, and Jonny Flynn, among others.

Hiring is always a crapshoot. Pro sports teams spend a lot more time and money on talent evaluation than tech companies and still get it hilariously wrong all the time.
3 comments
birken 2015 days ago
On the flip side, every NBA player who has won league MVP in the lottery era (>1985) was drafted in the first 15 picks. Steph Curry of course has won MVP twice and was drafted behind the 6 players you mention, but then he was drafted next out of every other eligible player. I'd argue that through this lens, NBA teams are really good at "hiring".

Some teams draft for current skill, others draft for absolutely maximum possible potential, others draft for some combination of both. Some teams are willing to risk a "bust" if there is the potential of ultra-elite league-best skill. And considering that no player who has reached the MVP level has fallen further than 15th, I'd say as a whole the NBA teams are doing very well.

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_qulr 2015 days ago
> every NBA player who has won league MVP in the lottery era (>1985) was drafted in the first 15 picks.

I mentioned Steph Curry because the original commenter did, but in general it's very strange to focus on the MVP. That's a small sample and cherry-picking the results, only talking about the successes and overlooking all of the draft busts. There's only 1 MVP in the league every season, and some players have won it multiple times. It was won 5 times by Michael Jordan, who incidentally was drafted 3rd (behind Sam Bowie). Only 21 players have won NBA MVP during that period.

In any case, that MVP record doesn't hold in other sports. For example, NFL MVP Tom Brady was drafted behind 198 other players in 2000.

> NBA teams are really good at "hiring".

Some long-suffering Minnesota Timberwolves fans might say otherwise.

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jl2718 2015 days ago
It’s only a 2-year contract. Curry’s performance for that period appears to be roughly in line with expectations of that draft position.
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rualca 2015 days ago
> Ricky Rubio

Ricky Rubio is famous for playing elite basketball since he was a scrawny 14 year old.

And Ricky Rubio has pretty much the same height as Steph Curry.

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throwaway201103 2015 days ago
The NBA drafts more on potential than current playing skill, making it even more of a crapshoot.
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_qulr 2015 days ago
Big tech companies love to hire on potential too. They often hire freshly minted college grads over experienced engineers.
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