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by sltEvas 2017 days ago
2%? You have an interesting idea of the world's population. Just think about what that means. It means 2 out of 100 people can hack into Facebook's Legal Department Admin Panel.

I mean if we are talking "mentally capable to achieve that within a decade if the person does nothing else but strive to that goal"... Perhaps.

If we are talking "sit down right now and do it", then it's more like what... 10,000-100,000 people on earth? Which makes for more like 0.0014%?

4 comments

Woo hoo! I'm in the top 100k in the world for something ;)
So logically you deserve to be paid 0.0014% of Facebook’s yearly revenue, which is around $1,176,000.00! /s
Was a wild guess. I'm not a software engineer. More like a Stewart Cheifet lol. But thank you, very interesting.
Not quite. The US alone graduates 2 million Computer Science students of various stripes every year. It's been graduating (smaller numbers) of them for over 40-50 years now. There are now second and third generation comp sci. workers and graduates.

So let's say 1% of 1 million/year are up to this, I suspect it's rather more, but I can't be bothered to do the curve on past graduation rates, and figure out what the world wide figure is... you've easily got a couple of million people world wide.

When I think it's going to get really interesting is in another 10 years or so when there start to be significant numbers of bored retired former developers. At any rate the market rate probably isn't that bad.

I think you might have looked at the wrong statistic when googling this. According to this site[0] (which is one of the first hits for "computer science graduates per year"), there are 2 million computer science people in the workforce _in total_, which seems far more realistic. Actual number of graduates per year seems to be 65000.

With your numbers (assuming linear growth) after those 40 years, about one third of the total US workforce would now be CS graduates.

[0]: https://datausa.io/profile/cip/computer-science-110701