[lmeyerov]

vc $'s may be seriously clouding the analysis here.

in terms of revenue justifying big valuations, how many healthy companies are there, really? ("spend $20M to make $3M..." = not healthy) What about ratio of OSS successes vs closed successes, esp w/ efficiency?

e.g., the biggest co there is databricks (and i continue to root for them!), and contrast w/ snowflake who started in a similar period, grew 10-20X bigger, and started more simply (get a clone of redshift without doing business w/ aws). worse, databricks took a lot of phd students many years with a lot of big corp funding before the vc's got involved: that's a high bar an oss co must hit vs not for adjacent high-growth spaces.

the good news for oss founders is VC's are warming to investing here, and sometimes, even before OSS traction. irrespective of profitability, the founders have a better chance of flipping it to be someone else's problem.

not necessarily as clear cut for community-minded co's though that want to be financially healthy for their community. it seems the bigger and more numerous successes are non-oss, and despite the many oss attempts, the big sustainable oss successes have to doubly succeed at what is already hard. If going OSS increased chance of success -- and didn't actively challenge success -- I'd expect relatively more successes by now. I wish all this wasn't so but it's hard to unsee...