[annirun]

I'm not sure the authors of that article would still support it on new information.

The argument they're making is "assume a vaccine is 50% effective at an immunity response, and that before an immunity response kicks in there is still a brief period of time where you are contagious with a small viral load. (50% * infectiousness of immune person) + (50% * infectiousness of an unprotected person) = a lot of infectiousness"

sub out that 50% for 95% (information that has come out more recently than the published date for that article) and the math looks very different. Still not "CORONA EXTINCT BY APRIL"... but much better than what you're implying