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by throwaway201103
2018 days ago
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When I think about 1990, I was still using unix, I was still using emacs to write code, was still writing SQL to work with relational databases. Sure the web wasn't really a thing yet, but all the fundamentals were there. The concept wasn't new; we had hypertext and interconnected networks. I don't know enough about deep learning to say whether the concepts were unknown then or just waiting on computing speed to catch up. AI research was certainly well underway long before 1990. At least for the work I do, I don't think much has fundamentally changed since 1990. Convenience and speed is way higher, yes. Storage and processing power is immensely cheaper. And obviously we've got 30 more years of development of things we can build upon. But I think if a good developer from 1990 could be teleported to today, he'd be productive with today's technology in short order. |
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The human writing the code will write about as much code today as they wrote in 1990, true. But as I commented elsewhere, the building blocks we have now would boggle the mind of a developer in 1990.
We have complete game engines, with scripting languages included, physics, advanced graphics and a myriad of things I don't even know, that you can actually use for free now.
We have maps that cover the world, with distance estimations, navigation instructions, street views of every street, etc., that a 12 year old can integrate on their website.
A developer in 1990 would be very productive today, yes. But that's because of everything that has been build in these 30 years. With the tools he had in 1990, his output would be meager by modern standards.