[saddestcatever]

I've always wanted a metric for how well talent correlates to victory in a given game.

For me, Super Smash Brothers Melee is a great example. Let's say I'm rank 1,000 in my city, and I play someone rank 250. I expect to loose 99% of those games.

I can't say the same thing is true for Call of Duty. It may be perception bias, but I think there's a LOT more variance between skill and victory. What's the breakdown of expected to actual performance? Would it be a 90% win rate, etc?