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wbhart
5518 days ago
Not really.
You
shouldn't assume you are in the last 5%. Statistically, by definition, it is most likely (though not certain) that you are not.
1 comments
jodrellblank
5517 days ago
That's the sort of analysis I'm questioning - it's also 95% likely that I'm not in the second-last 5%, and the same for the third-last 5% and for any 5% slice.
How can we usefully reason anything from a start like that?
link
How can we usefully reason anything from a start like that?