[tgb]

I'm not accepting the numbers. I'm accepting the "hospitals are not overrun" observation, which is very hard to cover-up. I happen to know someone working in a Beijing hospital and it is not overrun. How else would you explain that except to say that there is minimal community transmission? The only other possibility is a country-wide refusal to hospitalize patients, which seems equally difficult to cover-up. Otherwise the cover-up could only ever be briefly temporary until the spread was rampant again.